4-0 wins are not good, 3-3 let the tiger return to the mountain! The champion favorite is overrated, and the MVP has no way out

NBA playoffs are exciting, with 8 divisional semi-final teams fighting for 4 divisional final places. The specific situation is as follows: Thunder 3-3 Nuggets, Timberwolves 4-1 Warriors, Knicks 3-2 Celtics, Pacers 4-1 Cavaliers. At the same time, the US media updated the probability of winning the championship, as follows: the Thunder ranked first with 55%, the Timberwolves ranked second with 14%, and the 3rd-6th place was the Knicks (12%), the Pacers (11%), the Celtics (6%) and the Nuggets (5%) respectively. The Cavaliers have been eliminated, the Celtics' lives are on the verge of the line, and the regular season overlord Thunder has quietly become a champion favorite, but do they really have such a big advantage in the championship sequence? At least from the current situation, this young guard may be overrated.

Since Westbrook left the team, the Thunder entered a period of full reconstruction. In the past few years, the Thunder have been constantly hoarding young talents, not eager for quick success and instant benefits, and have taken steps to a new level! Especially last season, the Thunder went hand in hand with the Nuggets in the West in the regular season and swept the Pelicans 4-0 in the first round of the playoffs. Even though the Thunder's 2-4 loss to the Mavericks in the Western Conference Semi-Finals allowed the outside world to see the shortcomings of this team, they introduced Harten and Caruso in the offseason to make up for the team's shortcomings, and the outside world also had new expectations for this team: not winning the championship is a failure.

This year's regular season, the Thunder achieved a record of 68 wins and 14 losses, ranking first in the West, leading the Rockets (52 wins and 30 losses), which is as many as 16 wins. This is also the best record in the league and has greatly broken the Thunder's record in history. Before the playoffs started, many fans thought that the West was the Thunder, and other teams could only participate, and it was difficult to pose a threat to the Thunder. However, the Thunder's playoff journey was far less relaxed than the outside world imagined. Even paying excess tuition for young people also made the outside world a little more worried about their way to the championship.

Facing against the No. 8 seed of the Western Conference Grizzlies in the first round, the Thunder swept the opponent 4-0, and defeated the opponent 78 points in four games, including a 51-point tragedy. However, the Thunder almost lost the game in G3 and was once 29 points behind. They only completed a shocking reversal after Morant was injured; in the first round of G4, the Thunder were dragged to the final attack by the Grizzlies while leading by 12 points, and lost by 2 points! In the words of fans, the Thunder swept the Grizzlies 4-0 and won the victory. If Dortmund hadn't caused Morant to be injured, the Grizzlies should have won at least 2 games! In the Western Conference semi-finals, the Thunder were waiting for his time, but they were taught by the Nuggets continuously - G1, the Thunder was defeated by Gordon at his doorstep; G3, the two teams fought to overtime, and the Thunder collapsed in overtime, and the Nuggets used an 11-2 offensive to catch the fire. After the Thunder won the Battle of Tianwangshan, he rushed to the away game and failed to end the series, and the two teams will enter the Battle of Tianwangshan! In the words of fans, the Thunder 3-3 is like letting the tiger return to the mountain, and the winning or losing will be significant in a game.

From the 4-0 victory in the first round to the 3-3 second round, the advantages and disadvantages of the Thunder were further magnified. On the plus side, the Thunder team is indeed more soldiers and a wide range of generals. The 10-man rotation is enviable. Coach Dai can use different combinations of punches to deal with different opponents, and can also drag the opponents out of exhaustion with physical advantages. On the bad side, the Thunder may be too smooth during the regular season and are prone to relax when leading the big score. Once the team falls into adversity, their ability to play against the wind is far lower than expected. The penalty tactics at the critical moment of G1 in the second round, the overtime collapse of G3 in the second round, and the foul troubles of Alexander in the second round. More importantly, the Thunder relies too much on Alexander when fighting the positional battle. Once Alexander fails, they lack a stable and reliable offensive starting point.

This is the alliance overlord Thunder. Young is a double-edged sword. The upper limit seems to be very high, but it may be taught by the opponent at any time. So far in the playoffs, the Thunder's 10-man rotation, with defensive efficiency (102.5), steals (10.1) and fast break score (19.4 points) ranked first in the league, and rebounds (46.4), plus-negative values ​​(+11) and assist-turnover ratio (2.3) ranked second in the league. Overall, this is a team with strong defensive discipline and flexibility, but their offense has huge fluctuations, especially outside the three-point line. From Alexander to Jaylen Williams, the shooting stability is not satisfactory. In many cases, Caruso, Wiggins, and Dortmund have to use the gods to put out the fire with the gods' three-pointers to escape!

I don't know if the Thunder can beat the Nuggets in the tiebreak battle, but one thing is certain that this popular champion team is overrated, and the Nuggets with shortage of personnel have forced them into a desperate situation. In the future, when they meet the Timberwolves or Pacers with many soldiers and widespread generals, they are destined to be even more on thin ice! For the Thunder and the Nuggets, tiebreaking seven is a big test, and the two major MVPs Jokic and Alexander have no way out! Jokic is an amazing achievement to force the league overlord to this position, and he is worthy of being the number one person in the world; and what about Alexander? He is at least one Jokic away from the real king. So far in the playoffs, Alexander averaged 28.4 points + 6.2 rebounds + 6.6 assists per game, but his shooting percentage is only 46.4%, and his three-point shooting percentage is only 25.9%. He must use a declaration-style game in the tiebreak to save the Thunder and change the reputation! Whoever wins the tiebreaker will be worthy of the biggest champion! Fans, what do you think about this? Let me leave me a comment and discuss it.