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The Mavericks have a 1.8% chance of winning the top scorer, Su Qun once said that he would be the first

5:49pm, 16 May 2025Basketball

On May 13, 2025, the NBA lottery ceremony was held in Chicago. The Mavericks won the No. 1 pick, the Spurs won the No. 1 pick, and the 76ers won the Tanhua lottery. It is a miracle that the Mavericks were able to draw the No. 1 pick this time, because their probability of winning the No. 1 pick is only 1.8%. There is no doubt that the Mavericks will definitely choose the son of the God-Choose Flag in the draft in June this year.

Because the Mavericks won the No. 1 pick with an extremely low probability, this has also aroused doubts from fans. According to the current NBA lottery rules, the probability of a team winning the No. 1 pick is closely related to their regular season record ranking. The worse the team's record, the higher the probability of winning the No. 1 pick. The Mavericks' record this season is not bad. They rank 10th in the Western Conference, and the probability of winning the No. 1 pick is only 1.8%. This probability is the lowest probability of winning the No. 1 pick since the implementation of the current lottery draw rules in 2019. Historically, the team has won the No. 1 pick with a lower probability, namely the Magic in 1993 (1.5%), the Cavaliers in 2011 (2.8%) and the Cavaliers in 2014 (1.7%).

fans questioned the inside story of the Mavericks' draw of the No. 1 pick, mainly based on two points. First of all, the Mavericks won the No. 1 pick with a 1.8% chance, and this result is simply a miracle. Fans believe that such a miracle occurs in such an important lottery ceremony, which inevitably makes people wonder whether there are factors of human intervention. Moreover, the Jazz, who had the last record, won the worst fifth pick this year. This is the third consecutive year, and the team with the last record has won the worst No. 5 draw. This result seems to be a sign that the league does not encourage teams that compete for the No. 1 pick.

followed by the Mavericks in February this year. They sent away Doncic, the top five star in the league, and only exchanged for Brother Davis. At that time, this deal sparked speculation from many fans, and some fans even believed that the league was driving the deal behind the scenes in order to see the NBA ratings. It is worth mentioning that when the Brows were traded to the Lakers in 2019, the Pelicans also won the No. 1 pick with an extremely low probability that year, and then they chose Zion. The well-known commentator Su Qun talked about whether the No. 1 pick can be operated in secret a few months ago. He believed that the Mavericks gave the Lakers Doncic to the league's favorite high-quality team. Before that, Su Qun had predicted that the Lakers might trade Doncic. Su Qun's two predictions made fans think a lot.

Although the NBA has always claimed that the draw ceremony is fair, just and open, the Mavericks won the No. 1 pick with an extremely low probability, and coupled with the last team in the league that has drawn the No. 5 draw for three consecutive years, this will inevitably arouse doubts from the outside world. However, after all, the NBA is a business league, and it is inevitable that people can be favored.

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