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After defeating Italy 3-0, Norway is optimistic about returning to the World Cup after 28 years, with a probability of 84%.

3:17am, 8 June 2025Football

When the scoreboard was fixed at 3:0, the shouts of "We are going to the World Cup!" resounded throughout the Uleval Stadium.

When the game clock pointed to the 92nd minute, Luca, who came on as a substitute, barely completed the first and only shot in Italy in the whole game. This awkward data became a cruel epitome of the entire struggle - although Italy's possession rate was as high as 62%, the Norwegian used three fatal counterattacks to pieces.

The Italian defense line is as fragile as paper under the impact of Norway. In the 14th minute, Bastoni made consecutive mistakes. First, his casual pass was cut off, and hesitated while making an offside, watching Sollot calmly push the ball to score. The nightmare has not ended. In the 34th minute, the Norwegian goalkeeper made a long pass to launch an attack. The 19-year-old star Noosa felt like he was in a no-man. He first swung past Rovera, then passed through the gap between Rovera and Di Lorenzo, and a burst shot pierced through Donnarumma's ten fingers. Italy's collapse reached its peak in the 41st minute - Tonali's midfield was cut off, Ode made a clear pass, Haaland shook the goalkeeper and easily pushed the empty goal. The first half was not over yet, and the score was fixed at 3:0.

" Milan Sports Daily defined this defeat by "shameful" and angrily criticized the team for "fragile defense, weak offense, and no competitive spirit and self-esteem." The 37-year-old defensive core Archerby withdrew from the team. The chain reaction of four main players was forced to use Kubola. 67% of Norway's left offensive accurately hit Di Lorenzo's air defense weaknesses, completely exposing the fatal flaws of the Blues' Legion.

Norway's victory was by no means accidental. The 4-3-3 high-pressure system carefully created by the coach is like a precision instrument: the trident composed of Haaland, Sollot and Noosa in the frontcourt continues to put pressure; the core of the midfield Odegao controls the overall situation, and the creativity of sending 4 assists in the last two games has become the key to tearing the defense line; the two wings penetrate directly into the hinterland through rapid conversion.

data reveals the terrifying efficiency of the Pirates - in the first two rounds of the World Cup, Norway defeated Moldova 5:0 away and defeated Israel 4:2. In addition, he won all three games and scored 12 goals. What is even more terrifying is Haaland's finishing ability: the national team scored 41 goals in 40 games, and the efficiency of averaging 1 goal in the qualifiers made all opponents tremble. When the Manchester City forward scored a single goal in the 41st minute, he had made five consecutive games in the national team, increasing his personal World Cup qualifiers to 7 goals.

Norway's rise stems from the collective outbreak of the "golden generation". In addition to Haaland and Odegaux, the priceless twins, Villarreal striker Sollot broke the deadlock, and 19-year-old Bruges winger Noosa made a stunning breakthrough and scored the second goal. Although the team's value was slightly lower than Italy's 631 million euros, the team's chemistry reached its peak.

Post-match institutional data show that Norway's probability of advancing to the 2026 World Cup soared to 84%. Behind this number is the long redemption of Norwegian football over 27 years - this Nordic powerhouse has never reached the highest football hall since the 1998 World Cup in France. Now he has won all three games to lead Group I, scoring 12 goals and conceding only 2 goals, making the "return to the World Cup" from fantasy to a goal within reach.

And the darkest moment in Italy continues. After missing the World Cup in 2018 and 2022, the Blues once again stood on the edge of the cliff. The warning of "Milan Sports" is deafening: "The ghosts who missed the World Cup for three consecutive times are clearly visible."

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