Do you have a feeling that after the expansion of the World Cup, it is more difficult for European World Cup teams to advance to the World Cup qualifiers to become more difficult?
2:55pm, 13 September 2025Football
Of course, if you are excellent enough to ignore any objective elements, then today's topic has nothing to do with you. Look at the game where Spain beat Turkey 6:0 away and England swept Serbia 5:0 away, and you will sigh that you deserve to be the runner-up of the 2024 European Cup. Currently, Spain and England are in high positions, and no matter what kind of group they are assigned, it is not a big problem.
Obviously, Germany and Italy are strongly related to today's topic. Neither team is in good condition at the moment. Which group in Italy has 5 teams, so the schedule starts earlier. Italy was defeated by Norway 0:3 away, basically establishing the overall situation of this group. Germany's group has four teams, which started late. When we took it for granted, they thought that Germany's advancement was just a formality, Germany lost to Slovakia 0:2 in the first game. This is also a game that lays the foundation for the group situation. Of course, Germany and Italy are currently at low levels, and Germany also has Musiara, the injured person; but it has to be said that the European World Cup qualifiers under the new competition system are actually not friendly to strong teams. In fact, the so-called new competition system is just a few more groups than before, and the competition system has basically not changed. Due to the expansion of the World Cup, the European World Cup qualifiers were divided into several more groups, and they also advanced to the top. But because there are more groups, there are fewer teams in each group. In the past, each group had as few as five teams and as many as six teams. Now, there are as few as four teams and as many as five teams. What does a reduction in scale mean? This means that for any team, the room for fault tolerance has become smaller. Take Germany as an example. After losing to Slovakia, if there are enough teams in the group, they still have a lot of opportunities to score a goal difference. With a goal difference, Germany will have a chance to reverse as long as it defeats Slovakia in the second leg.
But now, Luxembourg is the bottom of this group, which is far from enough. We have also seen the strength of Northern Ireland. It is very difficult for Germany to win at home, let alone away games. In this way, Germany had to work hard for Luxembourg. But the problem is that Slovakia and Northern Ireland are also eyeing Luxembourg. Therefore, with only 4 teams, if you can't play well in a game, there are much fewer opportunities to adjust later than before. Moreover, if there are fewer teams in each group, if you are not lucky, the probability of the death group appearing will increase greatly. In fact, the German group has a little bit of death. Slovakia was the team in the last European Cup, and once forced England to a desperate situation. Although Northern Ireland is not strong, it is definitely a tough one. In addition, due to the conflict between the European League, the schedule of all four teams in this European World Cup qualifier was compressed within 4 months. In such a short time, if there is any problem, there is not even time to reverse it. In fact, the expansion of the World Cup will benefit from Asia, Africa, North America, South America and Oceania. Only in Europe, there is almost no change. Although the quota in Europe has also increased, the problem is that Europe is the continent with the largest number of places in the World Cup. It used to be more than a dozen, but now it is still more than a dozen. The growth rate is the least in the world. Moreover, when you look at the World Cup in the Black and White period, Europe is also on a dozen scale. In other words, in the past century, the scale of European teams has basically not changed. European football has always been the most competitive and has also participated in the World Cup most teams in history. No matter how the army expands, European football will leave regrets. I hope Germany and Italy have good luck. If the expansion of the army will make them absent, it will be the biggest black joke in world football.
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