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Madrid derby preview: Real Madrid s six-game winning streak is unstoppable, Atletico Madrid swore to block the dead rivals in the city at home

3:07pm, 27 September 2025Football

Under the lights of the Wanda Metropolitan Stadium, Simeone's iron-blooded defense line is waiting for the Galaxy battleship led by Alonso, and a city showdown concerning glory and ranking is about to break out.

at 22:15 on September 27, the seventh round of La Liga will usher in the first Madrid derby of the season. Atletico Madrid faces its arch-rival Real Madrid at home.

This is not only a battle of glory for Madrid, but also a direct dialogue between the teams at both ends of the standings - Real Madrid topped the list with six consecutive victories, while Atletico Madrid is only ranked in the middle. A victory is crucial to both sides. Real Madrid hopes to continue the winning streak, and Atletico urgently needs to prove that it is still competitive.

01 Team status: unstoppable and staggering

Real Madrid demonstrated amazing dominance under the leadership of new coach Alonso. He maintained a complete victory in seven official games in the new season, and started with six consecutive victories in the league, scoring 14 goals and conceding only 3 goals.

Real Madrid's offensive firepower is terrifying, with averaging 2.3 goals per game, while averaging only 0.5 goals per game on the defensive end. In the last round of away game against Levante 4-1, Mbappe scored twice, Vinicius scored the first record, and young player Mastantono also won Real Madrid's first goal.

By contrast, Atletico Madrid's season start seemed to be staggering. The first six rounds of the league have only achieved 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, ranking eighth or ninth in the league. In the last round of the match against Vallecano, Atletico Madrid relied on Alvarez's final kill in the 88th minute to win 3-2. The game exposed Atletico defensive problems - they have conceded eight goals in the last six games.

02 Tactical showdown: Simeone's iron-blooded defense vs Alonso's full-scale offense

Alonso has created a 4-2-3-1 offensive system for Real Madrid, with Mbappe in the center as the core of the forward line, Vinicius on the left and Mastantono on the right. The midfield is organized by Gulaire, and Chu Ameni and Valverde are paired with double midfielders.

This system operates smoothly, basically solving the problem of Real Madrid's poor offense last season. However, Alonso faces a happy trouble - how to arrange the lineup after Bellingham returns from injury.

Simone insisted on his iconic 4-4-2 formation, emphasizing fighting and confrontation. The offensive end mainly relies on the speed of the wing and the personal abilities of Alvarez and Griezmann.

Atletico Madrid's defense is no longer as strong as before. In the Champions League match against Liverpool, they allowed their opponents to create 2.71 expected goals and 7 excellent opportunities, which would be very dangerous to Real Madrid.

03 Injuries and physical fitness: Invisible winners and losers

Atletico Madrid faces serious injuries. The midfield double-core Thiago Almada and Joe Cardoso are free of charge, and the defensive core Jimenez has been absent from injury since June and is expected to return in October.

What's worse is that Atletico Madrid has less day off than Real Madrid. They only finished their match against Vallecano in the early morning of September 25, while Real Madrid's last match was held on September 24. This additional 24 hours of recovery time can be crucial in high-intensity derby battles. In Real Madrid, although there are also guards such as Rudiger, Mendy and Arnold who are injured, the lineup is deeper and has a relatively small impact.

04 Historical confrontation: Real Madrid has a slight advantage

Historical confrontation data show that Real Madrid has an advantage with 5 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the last 12 matches between the two sides.

Last season, the two teams had four matches in La Liga and Champions League. Both La Liga games ended with a 1-1 draw. In the Champions League quarter-finals, Real Madrid won 2-1 at home and lost 0-1 away. After the total score was drawn, they eliminated their opponents with a penalty shootout.

It is worth mentioning that Atletico Madrid often bursts out with amazing energy when playing against Real Madrid at home. In the past five seasons, Atletico Madrid's winning rate at home against Real Madrid has exceeded 40%.

05 Key Player: Direct dialogue between Mbappe and Alvarez

One of the highlights of this game is the matchup between Mbappe and Alvarez. Mbappe currently leads the La Liga scorer list with 7 goals, while Alvarez just scored a hat-trick last round and his confidence is at its peak.

Mbappe's speed and shooting skills will directly hit Atletico Madrid's defense line, and Alvarez will be the main threat to Atletico Madrid's counterattack. How to limit the performance of these two forwards will become the focus of the tactical deployment of coaches on both sides.

In addition to the front line duel, the competition for the midfield will also be crucial. Real Madrid has the advantage in technology, and Atletico Madrid may use scrambles or even fouls to interrupt Real Madrid's passes and organization.

06 Highlights and prospects for the match

There are many highlights worth paying attention to in this game. First, Alonso is expected to tie the club's historical record - if he beat Atletico Madrid away, he will tie the record of 7-game winning streak in La Liga set by Lucemberg in 2005.

The second is whether Atletico Madrid can withstand Real Madrid's offensive with the help of home court advantage. Atletico Madrid's home atmosphere is fanatical, and they desperately need a victory to boost morale.

Most forecasts believe that this game will be very stalemate. There are predictions that the probability of a draw between the two sides is as high as 48%, while Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid win rates are 27% and 25% respectively. Another prediction is optimistic that Real Madrid will win 2-1.

For Real Madrid, winning will consolidate their lead and tie the record. For Atletico Madrid, even a draw can inject confidence into Simeone's team and become the turning point of the season.

The Madrid derby has never been a football match, but also a symbol of identity and glory. For Real Madrid, this is an opportunity to continue to make rapid progress; for Atletico Madrid, this is a redemption battle that reverses the situation of the season.

Is Real Madrid's continuous winning streak, or is Atletico Madrid turning the situation around at home? The answer will be revealed at the Wanda Metropolitan Stadium on Saturday night. Regardless of the outcome, this derby will be full of passion, confrontation and drama.

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