Chinese men s basketball team s Asian Cup results forecast: Top four or top eighty percent of the most likely result, and there is little hope of winning the championship

On August 5, the Chinese men's basketball team went to this men's basketball World Cup with a residual team. In the absence of Zhou Qi, Yang Hansen, Zeng Fanbo and Zhang Zhenlin, what achievements can the Chinese men's basketball team achieve? If the Chinese men's basketball team is the first in the group stage and enters the quarter-finals, they are likely to meet the Korean men's basketball team or the Lebanese men's basketball team in the quarter-finals and are expected to compete in the top four, but if they miss the first place in the group, they need to participate in the quarter-finals play-offs. Once they advance to the quarter-finals, they are likely to meet the defending champion Australian men's basketball team, and they will basically be frozen in the quarter-finals.

Since the Asian Championships of the Men's Basketball Team have been reformed into the Asian Cup, the Chinese men's basketball team missed the semi-finals in the past two competitions, ranking fifth and eighth respectively, with poor performance. In the 2017 Men's Basketball Asian Cup, the Chinese Men's Basketball Team lost to the Australian Men's Basketball Team 71-97 in the quarter-finals and finally finished fifth. In the 2022 Asian Cup, the Chinese men's basketball team lost to the Lebanese men's basketball team 69-72 in the quarter-finals and missed the semi-finals. There was no 5-8 ranking match in the Asian Cup. Teams outside the semi-finals ranked eighth in the finals according to their record rankings.

The Chinese men's basketball team lacks many main players this year. Zhou Qi, Zeng Fanbo, and Zhang Zhenlin are all selected for the training team, but they all missed the competition due to injuries. In addition, players such as Cui Yongxi, Zhao Jiwei, and Sun Minghui are also injured, and they are not even selected for the training team. As for Yang Hansen, he applied not to participate in the Asian Cup, and he will participate in the next Trail Blazers short training camp.

In the absence of a large number of main players, the overall strength of the Chinese men's basketball team has declined sharply, so it is still unknown what achievements can be achieved in this Asian Cup. The results of the Chinese men's basketball team are most likely to be in the top eight and top four, but in fact they are also related to the current situation of the Chinese men's basketball team.

The three teams in the same group of the Chinese men's basketball team are not strong, namely the host Saudi men's basketball team, the Indian men's basketball team and the Jordan men's basketball team. Among them, the Jordan men's basketball team will be the strongest opponent in the group stage. If the Chinese men's basketball team wins 3 wins and 0 losses in the group stage, they will be locked in the group first and go to the quarterfinals. In this way, the Chinese men's basketball team is likely to meet the Korean men's basketball team and the Lebanese men's basketball team in the quarter-finals. By then, the Chinese men's basketball team will be able to advance to the semi-finals and ensure the top four if they win.

If the Chinese men's basketball team fails to be the first in the group stage, they will enter the quarterfinals. After advancing, they will meet the Australian men's basketball team's champion in the quarter-finals. The current strength of the Chinese men's basketball team is unlikely to defeat the Australian men's basketball team, and they will stop in the quarter-finals and get the top four results, so the two possibilities are the greatest.

As for the possibility of winning the championship, the Chinese men's basketball team has little hope of winning the championship in this competition. The ideal situation for the Chinese men's basketball team is that they will not meet the Australian men's basketball team before the finals. The ideal situation at that time is to strive for the runner-up. The Chinese men's basketball teams in the other teams have the possibility of wrestling, so there are possibilities for both the runner-up and the third place. On the contrary, it is the most unlikely situation that the group cannot qualify, after all, the other three opponents in the group stage are not strong.

(Text/Zuiwofusheng)