June 12th Number of goals scores win-loss draw prediction reference.

Germany 21VS Sloven 21:

Outstanding offensive and defensive dominance: Germany U21 advanced strongly with an unbeaten record of 8 wins and 2 draws in the qualifiers, averaging 3.6 goals and conceded only 9 goals, with an offensive efficiency that is the best in Europe. In recent friendly matches, they defeated Spain U21 3-1 and swept Israel U21 5-1, showing a crushing firepower output (2.8 goals per game). The success rate of the high-altitude top-square-top core Walter Mad (Stuttgart/7 goals in 12 games) reached 68%, and combined with the breakthrough ability of Knauf (Frankfurt/3 goals in 24 games) to form a three-dimensional offensive. The midfield is dispatched by dual cores of Leal (Freiburg) and Gruda (Brighton), with a ball possession rate of up to 57.9%, and a pass success rate of 85.7%, completely suppressing the opponent's counterattack space.

Lineup Depth and Tactical Resilience: Although new stars such as Mukoko and Urbich are absent, the lineup composed of new Bundesliga players is still very strong. The central defender Brown (Frankfurt) and Are Mbi (Braga) have excellent confrontational ability, with 6 clean sheets in the last 10 games and significant stability in the defense line. Tactical, the German U21 is good at creating murderous intent through crosses on the wing (18 times per game) and set pieces (25% success rate), and targeting the weakness of Slovenia's average height (1.83 meters).

1, weak offense and defense: Slovenia U21 only qualified as the third in the group in the qualifiers, lost 0-2 to Norway U21 and 1-1 to Ukraine U21 in the friendly match, with 1.2 goals per game and 1.7 goals conceded, and both offense and defense efficiency were at a disadvantage. The main goalkeeper Jan Oblak is in a fluctuating state, the midfield core Miha Brazic lacks support, and the average defense is 23.4 years old. Facing high-intensity pressure, it is easy to expose physical weaknesses. The Slovenian U21 relies on the 5-4-1 iron barrel array to shrink its defense line, but its midfield interception ability is insufficient (15 steals per game, third from the bottom in the group), making it difficult to limit Germany's pass and cut penetration. The offensive end relies on the long pass of high center Hibert (5 goals in the qualifiers) to compete for the top, but the midfield core Sesko (Red Bull Salzburg) was absent due to injury, resulting in a significant decrease in offense and defense conversion efficiency. Substitute forward Begic (0 goals from the club) is unable to take on the heavy responsibility of attack.

2, set-piece sneak attacks and away weak: Slovenia U21 scored 30% in the last five set-pieces, and it may create a threat if Germany takes advantage of the gap after being pushed up. However, his away performance was poor, and he had been blocked in the last three matches against Germany's U21, and he only had 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in his last 6 away games, lacking surprise capital.

Comprehensive analysis:

German U21's wing breakthrough (Sard, Weishoput) and middle infiltration (Rel, Knauf) will directly impact the Slovenian defense line, while Slovenia's long pass counterattack and set-piece are the only hopes of breaking the deadlock. The weakness of German central defender moving slowly by Sek may be targeted, but Slovenia's midfield support is insufficient and it is difficult to pose a continuous threat. The German U21 takes the absolute initiative with its lineup depth, tactical restraint and institutional support. Although Slovenia has a threat of set pieces, the strength gap is significant. It is necessary to guard against a low probability of unpopular draw 1-1.

003 European Youth Championship Germany 21 VS Slovenian 21 Recommended: Win, draw Score prediction: 11, 21, 22 Goals: 3 goals/4 goals