Sunday 019 | Bundesliga [Freiburg VS Hoffenheim] Lots of people! Sell points and buy points/multi-guarantee is not relegated! "Hong Xiaoyu" wins and losses are hard to say

Bundesliga Preview: Freiburg VS Hoffenheim Score prediction

Freiburg 2-1 Hoffenheim

Core analysis

1. Comparison of league situation and fighting intention

Freiburg: Ranked 8-9, 6 points (4 games 2 wins 0 draws 2 losses), scored 8 goals and conceded 8 goals, 3-4 points from the European War Zone

Hoffenheim: Ranked 9th, collected 6 points (4 games 2 wins 0 draws 2 losses), scored 8 goals and conceded 10 goals, 5-6 from the relegation zone Score

Fighting intention assessment: The two teams have the same points, the home team is fighting for European games at home; the away team is stable in the middle of the away game, and the home team is strategically aggressive

2. Comparison of home and away performance and status

vs. Freiburg (Home) Hoffenheim (Away) Advantages have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses in the last 10 games, 19 goals, conceded 10 goals, 3 wins, 1 draws, 6 losses in the last 10 games, 12 goals in the last 19 goals, Freiburg's offensive efficiency is 1.9 goals per game at home, 1.2 goals in the middle and upper tournaments in the league, Freiburg's defensive performance is 1.0 goals in the middle and lower tournaments in the league, 1.9 goals in the away game, and Freiburg's recent state has 1 win, 0 draws in the last 5 games 4 losses, with a big victory over Bremen in the last 5 games, 1 win, 0 draw and 4 losses, Bayern was basically tied for ball control, averaged 54% per game, the 10th highest in the league, and the 12th highest in the league, Freiburg

3. Historical confrontations and psychological advantages

In the last 34 encounters, Freiburg has 15 wins, 7 draws and 12 losses, and the overall advantage

17 home games against Hoffenheim, Freiburg has 6 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses, and the home advantage is not obvious

Latest confrontation (April 19, 2025): Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim

Historical data shows that Freiburg has formed a certain psychological advantage

4 against Hoffenheim

. Tactical characteristics and style collision

Freiburg tactics: 4-2-3-1/4-3-3 formation, focusing on ball control penetration + breakout on the wing

Left blast: Grief and Sauloy averaged 8.3 crosses per game (3rd in the Bundesliga)

For Hoffenheim right back Ferman to catch up with the disadvantages, accurately find Gregoric (61% success rate for top-strike)

More active at home: strengthen high-pressing and increase offensive level

Hoffenheim tactics: 3-5-2/5-4-1 formation, focusing on high-pressing + Fast counterattack

forward combination Kramalic and Helozek have both speed and strength, and counterattack threats are more conservative away games: shrink the defense line, reduce ball control, focus on defense and counterattack

Inadequate interception in the midfield, 24.1 passes per game to the third zone of the offensive, and have been scored in the last 3 away games account for 50% of the striking goals

Tactical collision: Freiburg's wing breakthroughs and high-altitude advantages just restrain Hoffenheim's wing defense weaknesses; Hoffenheim's away tactics are conservative, making it difficult to play the characteristics of high-level pressing

5. Core players and injuries

Freiburg's core:

Maximilian Egerstein (midfield): pass success rate 85%, organization and dispatch core

Gregoric (forward): strong body, excellent heading ability, top-strike success rate 61%

Grifoe (wind): breaking through the core on the left, free kick threatens the big

Hoffenheim core:

Kramalic (forward): team's offensive core, taking charge of the team's 28% goals, and scored 3 goals in the last 3 rounds

Horle (forward): 9 goals and 4 assists, with a fulcrum and finishing ability

Zheng Youying (wives): speed breakthrough can enrich the offensive dimensions

Injury:

Freiburg: Manzambi (suspended), Kyach (knee injury), Artubolo (goal injury is missing)

Hoffenheim: Helozek (foot injury), Gandrey (ankle injury), Rentz (calf injury), etc. Impact assessment: Hoffenheim's injury is more serious, the core lineup is not smooth

6. Gambling data and professional forecasts

Asian handicap: Freiburg Jet - 0.25 goals, moderate water level, the market is slightly optimistic about the home team

European losses data: Freiburg won 2.20-2.30, draw 3.10-3.40, Hoffenheim won 3.20-3.50

Professional consensus: Most analytical institutions predict that Freiburg won 2-1, and the winning rate is generally between **55%-60%**

Conclusion

Comprehensive analysis shows that Freiburg will defeat Hoffenheim 2-1 at home. The main basis is as follows:

The home advantage is obvious: Freiburg's home record (6 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses) is significantly better than Hoffenheim's away record (3 wins, 1 draw, 6 losses); the home offense and defense data are all advantageous (1.9 goals per game, 1.0 goals vs. 1.2 goals away, 1.9 goals per game, 1.9 goals per game, 1.9 goals per game, 1.2 goals per game, 1.9 goals per game, Ball)

Tactical style restraint: Freiburg's breakthrough on the wing and high-altitude advantage are exactly targeting Hoffenheim's weakness in the wing defense; Hoffenheim's difficulty in playing high-pressing characteristics away from home, and tactical execution is limited

Core player status: Freiburg's Egerstein, Gregoric and Grief are in good condition, and can effectively utilize home advantage and opponent's defense loopholes; Hoffenheim's Kramalic is in a hot state recently, but the team's overall injury is serious and it is difficult to form effective cooperation

Injury impact difference: Hoffenheim's injury situation is more serious, and many main players are absent, especially the absence of the forward core Helozek affects the diversity of the offensive end; Freiburg's injury is relatively mild, and the core framework remains complete

Historical confrontation and gambling data support: Freiburg has an overall advantage over Hoffenheim, and the last confrontation 3-2 Win; Asian handicap and European odds data both show that the market is slightly optimistic about Freiburg, which is consistent with professional forecasts

The game will show that Freiburg will lead the ball control and Hoffenheim's defensive counterattack. Freiburg is expected to take advantage of his home court and a wing break, with Gregoric and Egerstein each scoring a goal to take the lead. Hoffenheim may rely on Kramalic's personal ability to win back a game, but it is difficult to change the final direction of the game.

Score prediction: Freiburg 2-1 Hoffenheim