Alaves vs Atletico Madrid: In the new season of La Liga, fierce collision between veteran powerhouses

Football fans are paying attention! This La Liga match on August 29 is definitely worth staying up late to watch - Alaves, who is struggling in the relegation zone, will face the giants Atletico Madrid at Mendi Sorosa. Although the strength of the two teams is very different, the historical confrontation data tells you: This is likely to be another classic La Liga battle with "below"!

Let's first look at a set of data that subverts cognition: Alaves' home game against Atletico Madrid has a winning rate of 66% in the past five seasons, and he has led three times this season and has defended the fruits of victory. The recent defense of this relegation team is iron-clad, with consecutive wins of strong teams such as Real Sociedad, and has conceded only 0.86 goals per game in seven games. Although the main defender Abukar is injured, through the tactical adjustment of coach Kudt, the team has averaged 6 key interceptions per game in the last two home games, and its defensive resilience is amazing.

But Alaves is not without weaknesses - his offensive efficiency is worrying, with only 0.83 goals per game in the last six games, and his home winning rate is only 20%. That's why they are still in a relegation quagmire. Facing a strong opponent like Atletico Madrid, not being able to score a goal means that three-pointers are hard to find.

Speaking of Atletico Madrid, Simeone's team is in good shape recently. The league has 56 goals in total, ranking third in La Liga, and has conceded 27 goals, second only to Real Madrid. Door God Aubrak is fighting for his sixth Zamora Award, full of fighting spirit. After Vallecano ended his four-game loss in the last round, the "Bed Sheets Legion"'s defense seemed to have recovered. Front double stars Alvarez and Griezmann have combined to contribute 14 goals and 6 assists, and their offensive firepower averaged 2.25 goals per game in the last four games is quite terrifying.

However, Atletico Madrid's away performance has been a mystery - the negative rate at Mendi Sorosa in the past five seasons is as high as 66%. Although they have a comprehensive advantage in technical statistics (average ball possession rate of 57.5% and 8 key passes in the past two away games), facing "home dragons" like Alaves, the psychological shadow area of ​​Atletico Madrid is probably not small.

European data is also intriguing: mainstream institutions have continued to raise the away win index recently, reflecting the market's concerns about Atletico Madrid's away stability. However, professional analysts generally believe that Atletico Madrid still has dual advantages: first, the pressure of relegation may force Alaves to adopt conservative tactics, which will create space for Atletico Madrid to counterattack; second, Atletico Madrid has sufficient reserves on the front line, Griezmann has just completed a contract renewal, and new aid Nunes may also make his debut.

In the first leg of the two teams this season, Alaves lost to Atletico Madrid 1-2 away. But don't forget the shocking uproar last season - in May 2025, Alaves tied Atletico Madrid 0-0, directly shattering the latter's hope for the championship. In that game, Alaves goalkeeper Ciala was like a magical help, saving 5 times in the game and sealing the strong opponent. He was praised by Marca as "Alaves's stabilizing needle".

Predict the trend of this game? From the perspective of tactical style, Alaves's small ball attributes are obvious at home (all goals in the last ten games are ≤2), and Atletico Madrid needs to rely on the sharpness of the forward line to break the deadlock. Given the recent state and history of the two teams' confrontation, the score may be 0-2 or 1-2, and Atletico Madrid won a small victory. But football is round, who can guarantee that there will be no second "Sivirah moment"?

The result of this game may directly affect the La Liga four-pointer and relegation pattern - Atletico Madrid needs three-pointers to consolidate the qualification of the Champions League, and every point Alaves is about life and death. Is Atletico Madrid successfully avenged the shame, or is Alaves creating another unpopularity? On August 29, let’s witness it together!

Do you think this game will be upset? Leave a message to predict the score, and the three closest readers who guess will receive official La Liga souvenirs! Follow this account to reply to "La Liga" to get the latest standings and schedule.