4-0 advance to win 78 points, lead 3-2 and win 44 points! The favorite to win the championship is strong and the middle is strong, you are about to get out

This year's playoff semi-finals are coming to an end, and two division final teams have been born. The Pacers eliminated the Cavaliers, the number one in the Eastern Conference in the regular season 4-1, and revealed that they are not big or small unpopular. The reason is very simple. Facing 70% of the teams in the regular season, the Cavaliers cannot test their defensive shortcomings in the double defender, and the disadvantages of mismatch in the attributes of the No. 3 position, including the mobility of the double towers. The Pacers are soldiers, and the Cavaliers are unable to take care of the defense end, and Mitchell is the only one fighting on the offensive end. The Timberwolves eliminated the Warriors 4-1 in the second round. The Warriors' strength was greatly reduced because Curry was absent for a long time, but Timberwolves boss Edwards has been fighting with injuries (ankle injury). James is right, and the Timberwolves is a team in the Western Conference Finals. In the series between the Knicks and the Celtics, Tatum fell, but the Celtics beat the Knicks and won a game, but this had little impact on the results of the series. The Knicks could earn more than 20 million in tickets when they returned to their home court. The Celtics faced a demolition this summer, and the team was at the end of their strength. The most surprising thing is the series between the Thunder and the Nuggets, where the Thunder played very "struggle". From the first round, they easily eliminated the Grizzlies 4-0, and took a 9-day break. Facing the Nuggets who only had less than 2 days of rest, they fell into a hard battle and led 3-2 in the first five games. The regular season achieved an impressive record of 68 wins and 14 losses, and did not encounter much pressure in the first round of the playoffs. Judging from the predictions given by the US media "BR", the Thunder's probability of winning the championship this season is 71.6%. Are they that strong?

naturally speak with data. The Grizzlies were eliminated 4-0 in the first round, G1 won 51 points in one game, and won 19 points, 6 points and 2 points in the next three games respectively. Moreover, Morant was injured by Dortmund. The Grizzlies once led the Thunder by 26 points in the halftime. In the words of Memphis reporters, if Morant was not injured, the Grizzlies could win at least two games back, and the Thunder were not that strong! The Grizzlies had a net victory over 78 points in 4 games, but the winning points were getting smaller and smaller. In the second round of the Nuggets, he lost 2 points in the first game. The G2 Thunder exploded super and surpassed the Nuggets by 43 points. However, in the following three games, the Thunder lost 9 points, 5 points and 7 points. The total net better than the Nuggets is 44 points, which is actually mainly contributed by G2 in one game. For the rest of the time, the Thunder and the Nuggets, who had only six people, played very stalemate, and exposed more and more shortcomings.

First of all, Alexander, the core of the team. He averaged 32.7 points, 5 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game in the regular season, locked in the MVP of this season in advance, and entered the playoffs. Alexander's average of 28 points, 6.6 rebounds and 6.7 assists per game looks very good, but his shooting percentage fell to 44%+24% in both events, and he had no three-point shooting at all. There is a very heartbreaking data: when Alexander was on the court in the playoffs, the Thunder beat his opponent 12.7 points in a hundred rounds; but when he was not on the court, the Thunder beat his opponent 18.8 points in a hundred rounds, and Alexander's On-Off value is -6.1. The team performed well when he was there, but when Alexander was away, the team performed better! For example, in the G3 series between the Thunder and the Nuggets, Jewe felt hot, but in the fourth quarter, Alexander hit the iron with the ball and was dragged into overtime by the Nuggets!

When it was overtime, Alexander dared not shoot, but did not give up the ball, rushed in and couldn't find the basket, so he blamed Harten and Homgren, and his teammates also started to make a fuss, and the Thunder lost the game in an embarrassing way! Alexander made 7 of 22 shots in the whole game, scoring only 18 points, 13 rebounds and 7 assists. The Nuggets are very targeted at Alexander's defense, because Alexander does not have long shot ability, so the Nuggets play in the defense. Once the teammates have no feel, Alexander can only hold the ball and rush to the inside. Here we extend the second question, Alexander is too dependent on free throws. In the Nuggets series, when Alexander scored more than 10 free throws, the Thunder won 2 wins and 0 losses, and vice versa. Moreover, Alexander's way of committing fouls has attracted criticism, and he is aiming at the defense, so the reputation is very bad.

And the other two shortcomings of the Thunder, one is that the Thunder has a strong conversion and offense, but the positional offense is not even at ordinary levels in the playoffs. Without a serious point guard, the forward height is not enough. Two inside players, Homegren + Harten, were present, and won 6.8 points in the opponent in a hundred rounds (this is based on the 4-0 sweep of the Grizzlies in the first round). When encountering the Timberwolves, the Thunder's chances of winning are very small! Last point, the Thunder lacks playoff experience, which can be clearly seen from the series against the Nuggets. Often, they can't hold the pace until the last moment, especially Alexander holds the ball, but Alexander hits the ball at the critical moment as low as 42.1% + 16.7%, which is obviously not a good ball holding point. The Grizzlies lack the team boss and the Nuggets are struggling, but what about the Timberwolves?

As the biggest favorite to win this season, the Thunder's elimination of the Nuggets in this round of series is actually not very suspense. However, the Thunder's attributes of being strong outside and being strong inside are clearly exposed. Alexander's dominance in the playoffs is not as good as Edwards. The Thunder's high-level disadvantage in the line and lack of the shortcomings in controlling the rhythm points are simply not enough to support them in the final victory. After the water and fire tempering of the Lakers and Warriors, the team has taken a step forward and is already waiting for the Thunder in the Western Conference Finals. The Thunder is actually not far from being eliminated.